Do the math...

I've taken a look at the three scenarios for how the Florida and Michigan delegates could have been split up. In NONE of the scenarios is Hillary even close to getting a majority, let alone within 150 delegates of Obama's totals. In fact, in both Scenario 1 and 3, Obama would have the requisite delegates as of last night. In Scenario 2, which is the most favorable to Clinton, Obama receives NO delegates from Michigan, yet he is within 45 delegates, where Clinton is still just below 200 delegates away. So anyone claiming that the Rules Committee stole this election from Clinton is living in a fantasy world.

Click on the list below to take a closer look at my data:

05/23/08 Midday Blog

Four more delegates have moved into the Obama column (2 former Edwards pledge delegates and 2 superdelegates)

Obama:
1660 pledge delegates
309 superdelegates
1969 total delegates

Clinton:
1500 pledge delegates
279 superdelegates
1779 total delegates

Remaining:
86 pledge delegates
208 superdelegates
7 pledge delegates previously awarded to Edwards
303 total delegates available

Obama now needs only 57 delegates to secure the nomination - about 19% of the yet to be awarded delegates.

And as I mentioned in past blogs, if you were to apply the FL & MI delegates as Hillary is demanding, Obama would still lead 2102 to 1971, needing only 108 delegates to Hillary's 239 requirement.

05/22/08 midday blog

Obama:
1658 pledge delegates
307 superdelegates
1965 total delegates

Clinton:
1500 pledge delegates
279 superdelegates
1779 total delegates

Remaining:
88 pledge delegates
210 superdelegates
9 pledge delegates previously awarded to Edwards
307 total delegates available

Obama now needs less than 20% of the remaining delegates to receive the nomiation.
Clinton now needs more than 80% of the remaining delegates for the nomination.

If Florida and Michigan were included into the mix (as Clinton keeps belaboring), Obama would have a 2098 to 1971 lead, and would need 112 additional delegates for the nomination vs. Clinton requiring 239 delegates (again, with only 307 delegates remaining).

05/15/08 Midday Blog

As of right now, according to CNN, Obama has surged to 1899 delegates vs. Clinton's count of 1719. Since the 'devastating' defeat of Obama by Clinton on Tuesday, Obama has increased the gap by 14 delegates. He now only needs about 30% of the remaining delegates to Hillary's 75% requirement.